Hurricane Melissa Grows Stronger As It Barrels Toward Jamaica
Cyclone Melissa is forecast to become a infrequent Category 5 cyclone as it veers in the direction of the Caribbean island, bringing deadly rapid inundation and rock falls.
The hurricane, which had wind speeds of up to 120 miles per hour as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is now shifting north-west in the Caribbean Sea and is anticipated to make landfall by early next week, as reported by meteorological authorities.
Warnings of blackouts and disruption to utilities have been announced as this storm produces up to thirty inches of precipitation and coastal flooding as high as 13ft above typical tides. "Seek shelter now," residents have been urged.
This hurricane is the thirteenth storm in this year's Atlantic storm period, which normally finishes in November.
Most Intense Hurricane Risk
A Category 5 cyclone is the most intense classification, with sustained winds of at least 157 miles per hour.
While Melissa is set to diminish in strength to a category four hurricane before arriving at Jamaica, meteorologists said there was "almost no noticeable change in the total effects" upon making contact with land, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it strikes the country.
Immediate Safety Steps
With tropical storm-strength wind and rainfall predicted to begin ahead of it crosses central Jamaica - perhaps encompassing the city of Kingston - warnings state that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and torrential rain has started and will cause severe and deadly flash flooding and many mudslides," urged climate experts.
The nation's leader Andrew Holness stated: "I understand that there are numerous residents who are worried, who are very concerned, and rightfully so: concern is justified.
"But the best way to manage anxiety and any unease and anxiety is to be prepared."
Residents are being instructed to protect their properties with sandbags and timber panels, and to gather necessary supplies.
Wider Impact
Alerts are also active for areas in Haiti such as the main city, Port au Prince, the neighboring country and the eastern part of Cuba, where Melissa is expected to bring similar effects by the middle of next week.
Rock slides currently triggered by the hurricane have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to the nation's Civil Protection agency.
Future Trajectory
The hurricane is projected to cross Cuba by the middle of the week before traveling via the Caribbean archipelago and emerging into the Atlantic.
By the time it makes contact with Cuba, it is forecast to have weakened to a category three storm.
Climate Background
Even though it is difficult to connect individual weather events to environmental shifts, researchers say it is resulting in climate patterns more common and more intense.
Warmer oceans generate additional humidity in the atmosphere, aiding in the creation of tropical cyclones.
Prior to the beginning of this season's Caribbean cyclone season, climate agencies projected increased storm frequency, mentioning heated marine conditions and likely enhanced seasonal rains around West Africa - where Atlantic storms often form.